2024 Global Banking Research Outlook
By Gerard Cassidy, Jon Arfstrom, Anke Reingen, Darko Mihelic & Benjamin Toms
Published January 16, 2024 | 13 min listen
In this episode of the Industries in Motion podcast we are joined by members of our Global Banks team covering banks in the US (Gerard Cassidy, Jon Arfstrom), Europe/UK (Anke Reingen, Benjamin Toms) and Canada (Darko Mihelic).
On the back of (another) eventful year for the banks sector, we discuss the outlook for 2024 and industry dynamics across the different regions. Will profitability improve in light of potential changes in interest rates, soft/hard landing for the economy, updates to regulation, capital distributions, potential challenges in the mortgage markets and under what conditions can bank share prices outperform, are just some topics our banking experts address in our podcast. With an average experience of more than 20 years, our banks team has a wealth of experience to look back at to provide insights into what 2024 might bring.
Disclosures and Disclaimers
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Gerard S. Cassidy
Head of U.S. Bank Equity Strategy
Gerard is responsible for providing bank and regional economic research to the firm's clients. Prior to joining our research department in 1988, he was employed by Unum Corporation as a senior bank analyst. He began his professional career with Gulf+Western Industries as a merger and acquisition analyst. Gerard is president and a member of the board of directors of the BancAnalysts Association of Boston, Inc. He is also a former member of the board of directors and secretary of the New York Bank and Financial Analyst's Association. Gerard is the creator of the Texas Ratio, a ratio used by investors to determine whether a bank could be insolvent
Jon Arfstrom
Associate Director of US Research
Jon brings over 20 years of experience as a research analyst to his coverage of financial services, including banks and consumer finance companies. Prior to joining RBC Capital Markets in 1999, he was a financial services research analyst at US Bancorp Piper Jaffray in Minneapolis. He was also a treasury manager for Graco, Inc. and a CPA for KPMG LLP, specializing in financial services companies.
Anke Reingen
European Banking Research
Anke joined RBC Capital Markets in 2011 as a European banks analyst. She started as a banks analyst in 1999 and since then has covered European banks at Morgan Stanley, Lehman Brothers and Execution Noble. Anke holds a master's in business administration from Cologne University in Germany.
Darko Mihelic
Canadian Banking Research
Darko rejoined RBC Capital Markets in 2013 to assume coverage of the Canadian banks and life insurance sector. He has covered the Canadian banking industry since 1999 and the Canadian life insurance sector since 2006, and has been ranked highly in various industry surveys. In 2016, he was named a Top Gun analyst for his coverage of the Canadian banking sector and the Canadian life insurance sector in the Brendan Wood International survey. Darko began his career in equity research in 1999 as an associate on our financial services equity research team. From 2002 to 2013, he was an equity analyst at Blackmont Capital, CIBC and Cormark Securities. Darko completed his MBA at SDA Bocconi in Milan and is a CFA charterholder. He is a Managing Director of RBC Capital Markets.
Benjamin Toms
UK Banking Research
Benjamin has worked at RBC Capital Markets since 2015 and is responsible for the coverage of UK banks (and large cap Spanish banks. He has previously worked at Barclays, and at Deloitte where he was an accountant in financial services specializing in the valuation of derivatives. Benjamin holds an MA in Law from Oxford University (St Edmund Hall) and is a qualified ACA Chartered Accountant.
Banking SectorInterest RatesInvestment BanksOutlook