The George Davis Report: June 2025 Edition

A monthly video series on the trajectory of the Canadian dollar.

PlayWatch video

By George Davis, CMT, RBC Capital Markets
Published June 17, 2025 | 3 min read

Don’t miss this month’s edition of the George Davis Report, where George discusses the factors behind the recent strength in the Canadian dollar.

What you need to know:

1

The average effective tariff rate on Canadian exports to the US has increased to 4.5% - but it is still the lowest of all US trading partners.

2

De-escalation in the trade war during the month of May has trimmed downside risks to growth in Canada and the US.

3

USD/CAD has traded down to a new 8-month low in early June despite lingering tariff uncertainty.

4

We discuss the reasons behind the CAD strength and whether or not we think that it can persist.

5

Our expected trading range for the month ahead remains the same as last month.

For the trading range:

USD/CAD

Buyers

1.3500/1.3600

Sellers

1.3900/1.4000


Our expert

George Davis, CMT
George Davis, CMT
Chief Technical Strategist, Fixed Income, Currencies & Commodities, RBC Capital Markets

 

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