The George Davis Report: August 2022 Edition

A monthly video series on the trajectory of the Canadian dollar

PlayWatch video

By George Davis, CMT
Published | 10 min read

Don’t miss this month’s edition of the George Davis Report, where George discusses how technical analysis is used in RBC’s forecasting framework.

 

What you need to know:

1

We use technical analysis to supplement fundamental analysis in our forecasting framework.

2

Correlation models can be used to identify evolving macro themes and key drivers of USD/CAD.

3

Relative Rotation Graphs help to identify relative strength trends between USD/CAD and other currency pairs.

4

A more aggressive BoC and firmer commodity prices have helped CAD outperformance on the crosses, with this trend expected to continue through year-end.

5

Price patterns and key support/resistance levels shape core views and expectations for our monthly trading ranges, with 1.2379 serving as a key “line in the sand” for the long-term uptrend in USD/CAD.

For the trading range:

USD/CAD

Buyers

1.2600/1.2700

Sellers

1.3000/1.3100


 

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