The George Davis Report: October 2025 Edition

The October BoC Interest Rate Decision and Hedging Opportunities

In this month’s edition, George discusses the risks around the October BoC meeting and hedging opportunities in USD/CAD.

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By George Davis, CMT
Published | 1 min read

What you need to know:

1

The October BoC interest rate decision features reasons for both holding policy steady as well as another 25bp rate cut.

2

The timing between the meeting on October 29 and the federal budget on November 4 may provide the BoC with a window to slip in one more rate cut.

3

Market pricing is leaning toward a cut, but it is not fully priced at this juncture.

4

We discuss the potential impact of a rate cut on USD/CAD, which has recently pierced the upper end of a multi-month trading range.

5

The recent move higher presents a hedging opportunity and we present some key technical levels to watch in this regard.

For the trading range:

USD/CAD

Buyers

1.3600/1.3700

Sellers

1.4000/1.4100

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Our expert

George Davis, CMT
George Davis, CMT
Chief Technical Strategist, Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities , RBC Capital Markets

 

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