The George Davis Report: March 2024 Edition

A monthly video series on the trajectory of the Canadian dollar

By George Davis, CMT
Published March 18, 2024 | 6 min watch

Don’t miss this month’s edition of the George Davis Report, where George discusses the outcome of the March Bank of Canada meeting.

What you need to know:

1

The Bank of Canada kept the overnight rate unchanged at 5% at their March meeting, as expected.

2

While the demand side of the economy continues to respond to prior rate hikes, inflation and wage growth remain too high.

3

As such, while the BoC feels that policy is restrictive enough to move inflation toward their 2% target, more time will be required to reach that point.

4

Our base case continues to expect the BoC to begin cutting interest rates in June – but the risks around this call are tilted toward a later hike as opposed to sooner.

5

Although the BoC message about more time needed before rate cuts materialize helped to prop up CAD, broader-based USD weakness has been a more important factor.

For the trading range:

USD/CAD

Buyers

1.3200/1.3300

Sellers

1.3600/1.3700


Our Experts

George Davis, CMT
George Davis, CMT
Chief Technical Strategist, Fixed Income, Currencies & Commodities, RBC Capital Markets

Stay Informed

Get the latest insights and news from RBC Capital Markets delivered to your inbox.